Inter Milan v Cagliari – San Siro at 19:30 live at Eleven Sports
Inter Milan secured their third successive victory in the space of a week on Tuesday night when overcoming a lively Fiorentina side 2-1 at San Siro. The match could easily have gone against the Nerazzurri but confidence and aggression returned to the ranks that had earlier been missing.
Fresh from two previous last-gasp winners, it’s a little too early to tell if the corner has been turned but Luciano Spaletti’s side have the perfect opportunity to extend their current streak when Cagliari arrive in Milan on Saturday night.
Centre-half Miranda missed the midweek match with an ankle problem and may again be rested by Inter with Champions League commitments to come, but even so, the hosts should have far too much for a visiting side that often tends to be blown away on their trips to Serie A’s leading lights.
Goalkeeper Alessio Cragno was the hero for the Sardinians last Saturday with a late penalty save to secure a 0-0 home draw with Sampdoria. In a lively encounter in which the hosts saw their woodwork rattled twice, Cagliari held out for their third stalemate in three outings on the island.
Cagliari avoided a drop into Serie B by taking six points from their final two games, against Atalanta and Fiorentina, though they were awful against the top-six as they lost 11 of 12 winless games. It was their W8-D3-L1 record against their fellow bottom-seven sides that kept them afloat.
Top scorer last term Leonardo Pavoletti has joined permanently after a loan spell from Napoli and mid-table security has been sought, with the addition of Lucas Castro an influential signing as he’s worked with new coach Rolando Maran at both Catania and Chievo previously.
Cagliari easily opposed on the road
Cagliari now returns to the road and will be desperate to improve upon a wretched record of W5-D4-L22 on their travels to top-half teams since the beginning of 2016/17. The guests have kept only six clean sheets in those 41 fixtures and have lost all 12 trips to top-six sides, eight of which were by two or more goals.
It’s only a small sample size but Inter have claimed seven triumphs from 10 when welcoming bottom-half clubs under Spalletti – half of those contests were won by the Nerazzurri by at least a two-goal margin, suggesting Saturday night’s duel should follow suit.
With that in mind, backing Inter Milan to win with a -1.25 Asian Handicap hurdle appeals at 1.73 quotes. We’ll see just a half-stakes loss should the home side win by exactly a one-goal margin with money made by a victory of at least two goals.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Inter Milan -1.25 at 0.787
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.
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