Hannover v Werder Bremen – Niedersachsenstadion at 19:30 Live at BT Sport
Werder Bremen rewarded head coach Florian Kohfeldt for his sterling work in midweek with a brand new long-term contract. Having arrived with the Green-Whites second-bottom in the Bundesliga, the 35-year-old has steered the side to 12th in the standings since taking charge in November.
Kohfeldt has inked a deal that will keep him at the Weser-Stadion until 2021 with sporting director Frank Baumann claiming his ‘recognisable philosophy’ and ‘clear ideas’ had clearly resonated with a previously underperforming squad.
Bremen started the season with a 10-game winless run, and Kohfeldt was handed the reins until the end of the campaign shortly after Alexander Nouri’s dismissal in late October. In his first fixture, Werder was beaten by Eintracht Frankfurt but they since rolled out W9-D4-L4.
The Green-Whites have yet to lose a home game in all competitions under Kohfeldt (W7-D3-L0) and are now 10 points clear of the relegation play-off spot. In 18 league matches with the club’s former youth and reserve team coach at the helm, they have collected 31 points.
Bremen to continue flying high
Clearly, spirits are high in Bremen and they were given a helping hand last week at Frankfurt. The usually-excellent Lukas Hradecky let David Abraham’s back-header slip into his own net for an extraordinary own goal that gifted Werder maximum points and I’m backing their good form to continue here.
The 1.82 available on Bremen from a scratch 0 start on the Asian Handicap holds plenty of appeal as they travel to Hannover, looking to continue their good form away to teams in the bottom-half; the Green-Whites have suffered a sole reverse in seven against the league’s lesser lights.
The visitors’ 60.77% Expected Goals ratio is only bettered by Bayern Munich, Hoffenheim and ever-so-slightly by RB Leipzig over the past eight outings, whilst Hannover’s paltry 41.27% ratio over the same sample leaves the hosts floundering amongst the bottom-six in the same metric.
Hannover running out of steam
Die Rotten slipped to a fifth successive loss last time out, a 3-2 home reverse to RB Leipzig. Despite rallying late on, Hannover never really looked like taking anything from the encounter to make it just one victory in their past 10 Bundesliga battles.
The hosts have only picked up maximum points in three of their past 15 (W3-D5-L10) now and kept a sole shutout since September. Combine that poor recent run with the four losses in five occurred on home soil and it’s easy to find a way to oppose Hannover on Friday night.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Werder Bremen DNB at 1.790