Guingamp v Marseille – Stade de Roudourou at 19:45 Live at BT Sport
Marseille’s marathon season has left them feeling “a bit burned out” according to striker Valere Germain but the OM forward has challenged his team-mates to keep firing on all cylinders with the final furling now in sight.
Les Phocéens’ triumph over Cote d’Azur rivals Nice last Sunday night was their 59th of the campaign, more than any other team in Europe in the 2017/18 season. However, Rudi Garcia’s group still has three more fixtures to play and is far from guaranteed a Champions League qualification berth.
A Europa League final in Lyon on Wednesday night against Atletico Madrid marks Marseille’s first European final since 2004 and it would be no surprise if Garcia decided to focus on that showpiece occasion despite the French football authorities aiding Les Olympiens’ preparation time by moving this clash forward.
The top three teams in Ligue 1 qualify for next season’s Champions League so should OM fail to defeat Atletico, they’ll still have an opportunity to seal the deal during domestic matters. Trailing Monaco by just a solitary point, Marseille concludes their campaign at home to already-safe Amiens.
Tough encounter for OM
At the weekend, Marseille brushed aside the fatigue of 120 minutes of Europa League football three days earlier to show their strength of character as they came from an early goal deficit to defeat Nice 2-1 at the Stade Velodrome with goals from Germain and Dimitri Payet.
That victory made it four triumphs in six unbeaten league outings for OM but considering the circumstances, they still appear too short as odds-on favorite for Friday night’s trip to Guingamp. Excluding the bottom-six, Marseille has managed just two wins in their past eight on their Ligue 1 travels.
Guingamp capable of getting a result
Guingamp saw their five-game unbeaten spell ended at Dijon last time out. The Bretons were beaten 3-1 and never really recovered from a slow start despite equalizing against the run of play midway through the second period. Clement Grenier’s set-piece delivery was their main weapon but more is expected of Antoine Kombouaré’s charges here.
EAG has claimed top honors in their last three at their Stade Municipal de Roudourou home, including a comprehensive success against high-flying Monaco. Champions PSG has been held to a draw by Guingamp in the past fortnight and they certainly boast enough tools to warrant support on the handicap.
We can back the hosts with a +0.75 start on the Asian Handicap line at 1.87. Only two of their nine trips to teams in 11th and above have resulted in victories by two goals or more. And with Garcia potentially resting and rotating ahead of the Europa League final, Guingamp has the ability to upset the odds.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Guingamp 0.75 at 1.820