Germany v England – Signal Iduna Park at 19:45 live on ITV
International friendlies are never usually great to bet on but Germany v England is not just another friendly.
Gareth Southgate takes his young and inexperienced squad to Dortmund tonight, to face the Joachim Low’s World Cup holders.
Can the young lions deal with what is sure to be an intimidating atmosphere at one of Europe’s loudest venues.
The German’s are cruising through World Cup 2018 qualifying so far, with a perfect record of P4 W4 D0 L0. They also have a frightening goal difference of +16 after these four matches, so should be keen to play some better opposition!
However, the last time they played a better opponent the match ended 0-0, as Italy held Low’s team in check at the San Siro in November.
Their record in friendlies is, like many nations, a bit hit and miss. Prior to the draw with Italy, they have a W3 D0 L2 record in 2016, with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded.
Those results included a 3-2 reverse against today’s opponents England, when despite leading 2-0 they capitulated to Roy Hodgon’s side, with Eric Dier heading in an injury time winner.
Low has also picked a relatively inexperienced/young squad for these coming matches with the likes of Emre Can, Leroy Sane, Timo Werner and others all included.
By the looks of the German injury list, Manuel Neuer, Mesut Ozil, Julian Draxler, Mario Gomez, Jerome Boateng, Ilkay Gundogan & Marco Reus, he will need the youngsters!
This is Southgate’s first game as England’s permanent manager and he will be hopeful of continuing his good, if unspectacular start of his tenure.
He talks a good game and has not been afraid to draft in untried and younger players, but ultimately if he can’t develop them into and strong unit with a great team spirit, the results will not be good.
The new manager has had a good start to life at the top with a record of P4 W2 D2 L0 with a goal difference of +5.
However, in the one match against a top level side, although they did not lose they conceded twice in the 2-2 draw with Spain.
Recent history shows that England are not great at keeping clean sheets, with Iceland, Germany and Netherlands all netting twice. Plus Russia, Australia, Turkey and Wales also managing to score against the three lions.
Southgate, like Low has to deal with a few injury concerns with Captain Wayne Rooney, Danny Rose, Jordan Henderson and Harry Kane all missing tonight.
But with the likes of Dele Alli, Jamie Vardy, Adam Lallana, Raheem Sterling and Ross Barkley there are goals in the team.
Asian Handicap Prices and Recommendation…
As you would expect the World Champions are odds on favourites to win the match. But, you can back the Germans at a tasty looking 1.98 on the -0.75 Asian Handicap line.
The Asian Total Goals line is set at 2.75 tonight and the Over can be backed at 2.01, while the Under is currently priced at 1.98.
England have beaten Germany in Germany, three times in a row now and despite the match being a friendly, I can see Low’s team being highly motivated to win tonight.
Also, with both sides fielding a number of less experienced players, there might well be more chances for both the attacks to flourish.
Asian Handicap Recommendation: Over 2.75 Goals at 1.98
Prices correct at time of writing.
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