Frosinone v Fiorentina – Stadio Benito Stirpe at 19:30 live at Eleven Sports
Fiorentina head coach Stefano Pioli was made to rue missing opportunities as La Viola were held to a 1-1 draw in Florence against Roma. Jordan Veretout had given the group the lead from the penalty spot, before a poor clearance allowed the Giallorossi to equalise with only five minutes left on the clock.
Speaking post-match, Pioli admitted, “It was a balanced and hard-fought game.
We were very dangerous in attack, but didn’t have the right determination or precision to finish off our chances and kill off the game.” The result extended La Viola’s winless run to four in Serie A (W0-D3-L1).
Nevertheless, Fiorentina looks well worth supporting at kind 1.80 quotes to overcome a -0.50 Asian Handicap hurdle on Friday night against Frosinone. The visitors have W4-D3-L0 when taking on teams below them in the league standings thus far, and won six of 10 trips to the bottom-half the last term.
Fiorentina are currently operating inside the top-six for both Expected Goals and Expected Goals from open play ratio, and have only failed to score on tough away days at Napoli and Lazio. Meanwhile, despite a relatively difficult schedule, the guests have allowed an average of just 0.53 xG from open play.
Frosinone continued their renaissance with a dour 0-0 draw against fellow newly-promoted club Parma last weekend. The Canarini’s were the aggressors in a largely forgettable contest but were unable to force home a winner despite seeing the home side reduced to 10 men.
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Moreno Longo’s men shipped 16 goals in their opening six matches, failing to score in each, although a switch from 5-3-2 to a 3-4-3 has improved the club’s fortunes as they head into Friday’s fixture unbeaten in four (W1-D3-L0), including an eye-catching 3-0 romp over Spal in their last home date.
However, that six-point haul for the Canarini all came against teams plying their trade in the bottom half of the division with the hosts actually losing in all six games against clubs occupying 11th or above. Frosinone actually fired blanks in five of those outings and are struggling to consistently carve out quality chances.
The home side are averaging only 0.36 xG per-game from open play, fewer than 20 touches in the penalty area and five attempts from inside the penalty area. Such statistics are likely to put them under major threat against Fiorentina and so Longo’s charges are best opposed here.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Fiorentina -0.50 at 1.800
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.
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