Fortuna v RB Leipzig – Merkur Spiel Arena AT 17:30 GMT LIVE AT BT Sport
RB Leipzig are a solitary point off top spot in the Bundesliga ahead of the final three rounds of the Hinrunde. Die Rotten Bullen were 3-1 winners over Hoffenheim last weekend – the club’s fifth win on the spin – with bang-in-form top goalscorer Timo Werner grabbing another two goals.
Ahead of Leipzig’s midweek Champions League trip to Lyon – having already qualified for the knockout stages – Werner has had a hand in 27 goals in just 22 games in all competitions since Julian Nagelsmann arrived. And the German international has notched an incredible nine times in his last five fixtures.
The triumph over Hoffenheim was as comprehensive as the final score suggested and RB have found their grove under their new coach and are looking irresistible in attacking areas. Scoring in their last 15 consecutive top-flight games for the first time in the club’s history, Leipzig will take some stopping.
Nagelsmann’s outfit have plundered 22 goals in five Bundesliga games, racked up at least three goals in eight of 14 league outings, whilst generating a whopping 1.50 Expected Goals (xG) from open play on average. Die Rotten Bullen are also firing in over 10 shots per-game from inside the opposition’s penalty area.
Dusseldorf to feel the full force of Leipzig
Fortuna Dusseldorf host Leipzig on Saturday evening and it’s difficult to see how the hosts can match their high-flying guests. Friedhelm Funkel’s troops sit second-from-bottom for xG from open play conceded, as well as facing the second-most attempts from inside their own penalty box this term.
Last time out Fortuna put in a feeble effort as they were swept aside by Dortmund 5-0. Dusseldorf managed just two efforts at goal and 15 touches in the penalty area at Signal Iduna Park; having been slaughtered 4-0 by Bayern Munich just a fortnight earlier, a similar outcome is anticipated here.
Funkel’s group have dropped to 16th in the standings, losing eight of their first 14 fixtures, including a W0-D1-L6 return against the top-seven by an aggregate of 6-19. Fortuna have leaked at least two goals on nine occasions already and are returning a paltry 28% xG open play ratio with Christmas looming.
Therefore, it makes sense to support RB Leipzig with a -1 start on the Asian Handicap line on Saturday. This selection sees our stake returned should the visitors win by a one-goal margin with victory by two goals or more securing a pay-out.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: RB Leipzig -1.00 at 1.700
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.