Fluminense v Atletico MG – Maracana Stadium at 20:00
We enter the second half of the Brazilian season with Corinthians leading the way in the title race as they currently sit four points clear of Atletico MG. After crashing out of the Copa Do Brasil in midweek against Figueriense, MG only have the title in the forefront of their mind now so they’ll be pushing as hard as possible for three points in every game until the end of the campaign.
After a terrible start to the season which saw the Rio based club facing a potential relegation scrap they’ve well and truly recovered and now sit just ten points off the top of the table. With the sale of star play Kenedy to English champions Chelsea it would have been easy for Fluminense to settle for mid table mediocraty.
Messages out of Fluminense are that they haven’t just given up on the title just yet, they’ll have to improve their away form if they are to pick up the momentum required for a late title surge and they’ll have to avoid slip ups to sides facing relegation like last weeks defeat to Joinville.
We tend to see a very modern 4-2-3-1 formation operated by Fluminense as they play Brazilian forward Fred as their number nine who tends to operate on a pivot alongside number 10 Marcos. Fred has scored the most headers in the Brazilian Serie A this season so I’m fully expecting Flu to get their wide players involved in the game as much as possible with plenty of crosses piling into the penalty box.
Athletic MG do tend to struggle when defending set plays which is expected due to the height of their team, MG possess a lot of technically gifted players that also do well in continental competitions such as the Copa Libertedores but they do seem to struggle when it comes to the physical side of the game.
It’s not very often you’ll get offered the + line on a team that are fourth in the table and at home and it’s not an offer I’m going to turn down here!
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Fluminense +0.25 at 1.81
Prices correct at the time of writing.
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