Fiorentina v Sevilla – Stadio Artemio Franchi at 20:05
Sevilla’s 3-0 1st leg win at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan stadium has put them firmly in the driving seat to make it to yet another Europa League final. Fiorentina have their work cut out to get back into the tie and will have to attack right from the kick off.
Our Asian Handicap betting punters made a nice profit backing Sevilla in last week’s match but we don’t see the Andalusian’s as the value bet at the Stadio Artemio Franchi tonight.
Fiorentina put in a very good performance in Sevilla and enjoyed more of the possession. They had the better of the first half and were unlucky to go in at half time a goal down. They created 11 chances but weren’t clinical enough in front of goal, failing to score in their first Europa League match this campaign.
Vincenzo Motella’s side need to score at least 3 to stand a chance of making it to the final and their only hope of a Champions League place for next season. They have scored 3 on three occasions in Europe this season and come into the 2nd leg having won back to back matches in Serie A, scoring 3 in each game.
Sevilla are yet to concede more than twice in Europe this season, but La Viola will look at Los Nervionenses away La Liga form, where they have conceded 3 or more on 6 occasions this term.
Unai Emery will be aware that an away goal will effectively end the tie and see them through to the final in Warsaw. They have won 6 of their 7 knockout matches, scoring at least twice in each match, 15 goals in total. The Spaniards play an attacking style of football and they will not change their tactics and defend their lead this evening.
Fiorentina are favourties to win the match but due to their defensive frailties which has been an issue all season, the Italians will find it near impossible to keep Sevilla at bay.
This is a match that I find difficult to call due to Sevilla’s huge 1st leg lead. Think back to Tuesday nights UCL 2nd leg match between Bayern and Barca and we have a similar situation this evening. The value that night was backing the Overs and I’m expecting plenty of goals in an open match tonight.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 3.5 @ 2.62
Prices correct at time of writing.
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