March 20, 2016

Ferroviaria v Sao Bernardo Asian Handicap Preview – Sunday 20th March

Ferroviaria v Sao Bernardo – Estadio Fonte Luminosa at 21:30

On Sunday we’ll be taking a look at the surprise package of the Paulista championship as we head to the south of Sao Paulo to look at the look between Ferroviaria vs Sao Bernardo.

Ferroviaria were tipped by virtually every pundit in the Sao Paulo state to be relegated this season, but they currently sit top of their group, ahead of giants Sao Paulo and also the very talented Gremio Audax.

They’ll face a Sao Bernardo side that are really up against it this season and currently sit bottom of their group, even though they’ve only picked up three points less than today’s opponents Ferroviaria.

Sao Bernardo have conceded nine goals in their last five games and although their fans love the expansive style of play that they offer, it is difficult to outscore teams that plain and simply have better players at their disposal.

Ferroviaria have the second lowest budget in the league behind Oeste, but they work harder than any other side topping the distance ran charts in the league. There was a prime example of this, when they beat giants Palmeiras just a few weeks ago. The hardest working Palmieras player wasn’t even in the top six of the distance covered statistic, when compared to the Ferroviaria players.

The home side also possess the smallest pitch in the league and with their high press game and 4-2-3-1 formation they’ll be looking to pen Sao Bernardo in their own final third, to force mistakes as high up the pitch as possible. Sao Bernardo should play a lot of long balls on Sunday to try and get in behind the Ferroviaria defence, but that works against the clubs ideology on how the game should be played so I expect them to try and play their way out of danger!

Ferroviaria should be able to punish mistakes high up the pitch against Sao Bernardo tonight so I’m more than happy to back them to win the game and continue their strong run of form!

Asian Handicap Bettin Reccomendation: Ferroviaria -0.5 at 1.92

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @LewisJones1992

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