Ferroviaria v Corinthians – Estadio Fonte Luminosa at 22:30
The so far perfect Corinthians will make the tough journey to face minnows Ferroviaria in the fifth round of the Paulista A1 on Sunday with the Timao looking to build up a full head of steam ahead of their Copa Libertedores campaign.
I’ve no doubt that the Timao would love to pick up their 28th Paulista A1 title but everyone is fully aware that the club are using this competition as preparation for the Copa Libertedores which the club see as their number one aim this year.
Ferroviaria have been somewhat of a surprise package in the opening phases of the Paulita A1 as they currently top their group which also involves Sao Paulo and Gremio Audax, the minnows have picked up a very impressive nine points from their opening four games but an encounter against Corinthians is without doubt the sides biggest challenge of the season to date.
The home side usually look to play on the front foot where they press the opposition high in their final third with the aim of forcing a turnover deep into the opposition half. This could however play into the hands of Corinthians who love to play on the counter attack and they’ll constantly look to get the ball into their full backs who have the ability to clip balls in behind the opposition back line to set away the pacey Danillo.
Corinthians will have no problem with the opposition having the majority of the ball as they defend fantastically with every player knowing exactly what jobs they need to do when the side is out of possession. For me Corinthians are the best side with regards to tactical awareness and defensive shape in the whole of South America.
In their five competitive games so far, four in the Paulista A1 and one in the Copa Libertedores the Timao have only conceded one goal which came in a 2-1 home win to Cappivariano (See previous preview)
The line on Sunday’s game is Corinthians -0.50 when in my opinion it should be around -0.75!
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Corinthians -0.5 at 2.03
Prices correct at the time of writing.
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