March 19, 2015

Dynamo Kyiv v Everton Asian Handicap Preview – Thursday 19th March

Dynamo Kiev v Everton – NSC Olimpiyskiy at 18:00 live on ITV 4

Everton came back from a goal down in the 1st leg at Goodison Park to take a 2-1 lead back to the Ukraine. We recommended Everton -0.25 on the Asian Handicap last week and the bet landed after Romelu Lukaku netted a late penalty to give the Toffee’s an advantage going in to the second leg.

Everton still have a lot to do to make it through to the Quarter Finals though as Kiev is no easy place to go. The 1.57 on them to qualify looks too short to me, I’d much rather take the 2.5 offered on Dynamo to qualify.

Kiev have a fantastic home record this season both domestically and in the Europa League. They have played 9 won 7 in the Ukranian league, conceding just one goal, ok, that is the Ukranian league. In Europe though, they have won all 4 of their home matches by 2 goals or more conceding just twice.

Everton’s away record in the Premier League is awful, but then so has most of their domestic season. They have lost 8 of the last 9 on the road, scoring an average of 0.93 and conceding 1.53 goals per game. As we know though, they are a different side in the Europa League.

With 2 away wins from 4, including an impressive 2-0 win over Wolfsburg, this seasons favourties for the trophy, and a 4-1 demolishing of Young Boys, Martinez will fancy his chances.

The Toffee’s go into the game having beaten Newcastle 3-0 at the weekend which has taken them 6 points clear of the relegation zone and will be full of confidence to maintain their advantage over Kiev.

They welcome back Aiden McGeady and John Stones but will be without Kevin Mirallas who was injured in the first leg and Aaron Lennon who is cup tied.

I think this will be a very close match and I don’t see many goals. The majority of the sides Europa matches have seen over 2.5 goals but with so much at stake tonight, both sides will keep it tighter. 1.87 on Over 2.5 goals might be worth a punt.

Everton are the last English side left in Europe but I think that will change come 8 o’clock this evening.

Asian Handicap Recommendation: Dynamo Kiev -0.5 @ 2.11

Prices correct at time of writing.

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