England v Sri Lanka, 1st ODI – Trent Bridge at 14:00 live on Sky Sports 2

The Scene

Trent Bridge, Nottingham, hosts the first match of a series of five ODI’s between England and Sri Lanka. The good old British summer ensured the Test series ended in a damp squib with England 2-0 winners – the bigger picture (if you believe the ECB) is that the tour is still alive for the visiting Sri Lankan’s – this is (of course) part two of the so-called Super Series in which every match, regardless of the format, matters. With four points on offer for a Test win and two points for an ODI or T20I win, the Super Series currently stands with England 10-2 up after the Tests. With five ODI’s and one T20 remaining, a further 12 points are up for grabs. Confused? You should be…..

Conditions

Nottingham is set fair for Tuesday’s day night affair. Temperatures will struggle to top 19c but a less than 10% chance of showers is a welcome relief for all cricket punters.

The Venue

Trent Bridge is known for assisting swing bowlers but recent scoring in limited overs cricket is good. This year in the Royal London One Day Cup Nottinghamshire have hit 415 and 445 when batting first, with the chasing sides racking up incredible returns of 379 and 425 in response! The 349 mentioned below couldn’t be defended by New Zealand as England romped home with fully 36 balls spare, courtesy of centuries from skipper Eoin Morgan and Joe Root.

Here is a list of the last 8 first innings scores in ODI’s at Trent Bridge –

349, 227, 287, 182, 174, 250, 296, 299 – Average 258

First Innings Runs

England have batted first in 11 of 19 ODI’s played since the 2015 Cricket World Cup –

236, 262, 318, 399, 355, 283, 216, 138, 300, 302, 408 – Average 292

Sri Lanka have batted first in 7 of 14 ODI’s played in the same time period –

377, 303, 117, 188, 368, 256, 255 – Average 266

Teams

This will be the first ODI England have played since James Taylor’s deeply unfortunate forced retirement. With Ben Stokes injured and Stuart Broad and Reece Topley dropped, it means there will be some changes from the England side that gave up a 2-0 advantage to lose 3-2 in South Africa. Alex Hales has passed 50 or more in 8 of his last 19 ODI knocks, including 112 in his last innings at Cape Town, whilst opening partner Jason Roy has a SR approaching 99 but will need to better his average of 29. Joe Root comes in at first drop with an ODI career average on the rise having made 4 centuries in the last 12 months. Jos Buttler will surely return behind the stumps after a brilliant year in ODI’s – he’s scored his 518 runs in his last 14 innings at a SR of 142. Expect Test match batting hero Jonny Bairstow to come into the side as a specialist batsman. The bowling isn’t as rosy with leggie Adil Rashid the leading wicket taker in the past 12 months with 24 wickets in 19 matches. Fellow Yorkshire bowler David Willey has 19 wickets in his last 13 games at an economy of 5.61 whilst Chris Jordan will try and bring his T20I death bowling expertise into the 50 over format. An economy rate of 8.6 and an average of 91 in the Sussex seamers last 5 ODI’s suggests things can only get better.

No Dilshan, Jayawardene, Malinga or Sangakkara means Sri Lanka are missing a combined 1,370 ODI caps. Luckily for skipper Angelo Mathews, his touring side appear to be hitting form after two ODI wins over the weekend against the nuggety Irish. Opener Kusal Perera enjoyed his time in Dublin, scoring 135 off 128 balls in the 2nd ODI, taking his tally to 560 runs in 10 innings post 2015 Cricket World Cup. Dinesh Chandimal continued his fine form after a century in the Test series, with a second career ODI ton in the 1st match versus Ireland. Dasun Shanaka scored 42 and took 5/43 on his ODI debut and Matthews himself will be keen to add more contributions in ODI’s having still only made one century in 142 innings. Fellow all-rounder Farveez Maharoof returns to the squad after playing the last of his 105 ODI’s in 2012. Suranga Lakmal leads the attack with 63 wickets in 43 matches with Shaminda Eranga hospitalised in Ireland – an elevated heartbeat means better safe than sorry, as the seamer undergoes tests to check all is OK.

Ones To Watch

It’s been 8 innings since Eoin Morgan’s last ODI half century, with a highest score of just 35 in that time. Scene of his 82-ball 113, Trent Bridge will be as good a place as any for the powerful England left-hander to rediscover his magic touch.

Seekkuge Prasanna wasn’t a name this writer was particularly familiar with until an incredible display in the 2nd ODI win against the Irish on Saturday. Despite a potentially career turning performance in which he hit 9 sixes in an innings of 95 off 46 balls, Prasanna still only averages 13.1 with the bat. He also chipped in with 2/32 with the ball, helping reduce a less than impressive bowling average down to 47.2. That Sri Lanka have stuck with him after 27 ODI’s suggests there must be some serious talent – perhaps he’s about to unleash it.

Runs Markets

If England bat first, I recommend taking any OVERS RUNS around the 292-295 mark.

If Sri Lanka bat first, I recommend taking any OVER RUNS around the 260-263 mark.

Top Batsman Market

Alex Hales is in fine form and this is his home ground. He averages 54.5 here in ODI’s and scored 99 on his only T20I at Trent Bridge. Back him at 4.50 to top score for England.

We aren’t sure where Lahiru Thirimane is going to bat, but he’s scored 413 runs in his last 12 ODI innings. He averages 69 in 10 innings against England and can be backed at 8.0 to top score for Sri Lanka.

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

Eastbridge now fully licensed in the UK!

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