Viking v Bodø/Glimt
Last weekend was a very frustrating one for me in the Eliteserien. Somehow, my over 2.75 goals pick in the Bodø/Glimt vs Strømsgodset match contrived to end 2-0. There were numerous chances and in the last 15 mins two massive occasions were missed which would’ve secured the win. The obvious conclusion was yet another Glimt match which was great on the eye to watch and wide open at times. I definitely think that betting overs is worth pursuing in their fixtures. It is frustrating that only 5 of their 10 matches have gone over 2.5 this season. Of the games that went under, all of them contained exactly 2 goals! Glimt have been playing well and only suffered a couple of defeats this season. They continue to reside high in the table and confidence is clearly high in the camp.
This is definitely a matchup between two surprise packages this season. The majority of pundits expected both to be involved in a relegation battle in 2019. There is still plenty of time left this campaign but current signs are that neither will be having any problems towards the bottom of the table. Viking won 2-0 last weekend away at Lillestrøm. They were facing ten men for the majority of that contest but overall it was still a very convincing performance from the Stavanger club. A big positive for the promoted outfit has been their home form, in which they’ve picked up ten points from their four fixtures. The crowd has really been getting behind everyone and the attacking quartet of Tripic, Bytyqi Thorstvedt & Tommy Höiland seem to have very good chemistry.
At the time of writing, Viking are slight favourites on a DNB Asian Handicap line. This looks about fair and I’d say it’s quite difficult to predict an actual winner of this game. There would be a case to be made for both sides but one thing I really do fancy is goals. Viking certainly don’t hold back at home and are usually quite attack minded in any fixture to be honest. They have only been involved in a solitary 0-0 this season, which was a strange affair at Godset a month or so ago which just failed to ignite. In a similar way to Glimt, their over 2.5 % isn’t as high as it should be, but again a massive 40% of their matches have contained exactly two goals! Both of these sides are due a game with an abundance of goals, so I think it’s worth going for the bigger line of over 3 as a pick. This really should be a high tempo end to end type match and hopefully this time the players do their job of actually finishing chances instead of wasting them.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 2.050
Tromsø v Rosenborg
Both of these teams started the season really badly but have since rebounded well. Tromsø lost 7 out of 8 games in what was a torrid period for the northern outfit. But Simo Valakari’s men shocked everyone by beating Molde and then followed it up with a crucial victory against Stabaek on Monday night. Those 6 points obtained mean they are now out of the bottom two positions but the garden is far from rosy at Alfheim. Tromsø continue to struggle with injuries and in attack the likes of Runar Espejord & Mushaga Bakenga clearly aren’t properly match fit yet. In the last match Roberth Taylor & Daniel Berntsen lead the line but these guys aren’t natural strikers. It certainly helped them that captain Simen Wangberg returned for the Stabaek match and it was no coincidence that they kept their first clean sheet of the season with him back in the XI. But Wangberg is another who needs to be wrapped in cotton wool. There are many players in this Tromsø squad who can go down injured at a moments notice such is their fragility.
The problems at Rosenborg have been well documented this season. There have been all sorts of issues both on and off the field, but at least now they head into this contest having won their last three consecutive league games. I have to say the performance against VIF last weekend was easily their best of the season. A deserved 3-0 success was the end result and reminded me more of the ‘old RBK’ with their movement and passing. It was a very good decision by head coach Eirik Horneland to bring back left winger Samuel Adegbenro into starting XI. He can easily be the best player in the Eliteserien if in the right mood and he was bang up for it vs VIF. One slight negative for RBK heading into this match is that they were taken to extra time in the Norwegian Cup on Wednesday night, having fielded a strong team, At the time of writing, the Tromsø midweek cup result is unknown.
In this fixture last season Tromsø surprised their illustrious opponents by beating them 2-1. It was as stand out display from TIL and a tactical masterclass from coach Simo Valakari. It also proved to be a pivotal result for RBK because they changed their manager in the aftermath. This can be a difficult place to visit, just ask Molde who lost here a few weeks ago 2-1. In terms of odds we now see Rosenborg as -0.5 Asian Handicap favourites around the 2.0 mark. I think they are the most likely team to win but I’m not sure they can be relied upon after a short week of rest and extra time. But they are facing a team that has only kept one clean sheet all season and surely the defending champions can get themselves on the scoresheet a couple of times. Tromsø for their part will carry some threat on occasions, so I think the bet I prefer is over 2.25 goals. This might not be a wide open sort of fixture all the time but I think there will be enough opportunities for a straightforward over 2.25 to land.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.25 goals at 1.850
Preview by: @meatmansoccer.