Molde v Tromsø
Molde sat top of the Eliteserien table during the international break. They have a one point advantage over Bodø/Glimt and a five point gap back to Odd. Most people are expecting them to go on and claim the gold medal from this point onwards. Molde have a full ten games to focus on the Eliteserien with no other distractions. MFK were unfortunately knocked out of the Europa League by Partizan Belgrade. That was a blow but it might actually be a blessing in disguise now that they can fully focus on the league. Manager Erling Moe had been heavily rotating his squad during July and August, seemingly giving preference to European matches. This was a risk but it’s actually worked out. Molde won 4 of their 5 games during this period and giving some of the fringe players extra minutes could be beneficial in the long run.
Tromsø haven’t been in bad form recently but they are still hovering just above the relegation zone. A couple of bad results here and there could suck them back into massive trouble. I have said numerous times this season that the big strength of this TIL side is getting on the scoresheet. Only three times have they fired blanks in 20 games, which is quite an impressive record. However, the 40 conceded at the other end is now the worst in the entire Eliteserien! Tromsø concede an average of two goals per game which is a terrible record and something which doesn’t look like changing. On a more positive note, new signings in attack Fitim Azemi & Aiden Barlow have both settled well and look like very useful additions. TIL have lost 6/10 away games this term but did claim a shock 3-2 victory at Brann in their most recent road match, so can’t be taken too lightly.
Tromsø also beat Molde 2-1 in the reverse fixture back in May. At the time, that victory was a huge shock result and a proper bolt out of the blue. I would say there’s a good chance that Molde can get revenge here though. When on song they are the best team in the Eliteserien and I expect them to be fully focused after the international break. MFK have a 7-2-0 home record in 2019, although the two draws have been more recent which would be of slight concern to those who are considering betting on them. Molde are -1.5 Asian Handicap favourites which is perhaps fair enough. They should win comfortably but my preferred bet is over 3.25 goals. I did mention that Tromsø have a knack of at least scoring one goal in most games and it wouldn’t shock me if they managed to hit the back of the net here. Something like a 3-1 or 4-1 scoreline could be on the cards so I’m happy to strike with this over bet.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.25 goals at 2.030
Sarpsborg v Vålerenga
Two teams in poor form meet at the Sarpsborg Stadium where both will be desperate to win. There is every chance that Sarpsborg could enter this match bottom of the Eliteserien table. Geir Bakke’s men have only won a measly two games all season in the league, the last of which was way back on 16th June, exactly 3 months ago! This is a team that is severely underachieving this season and everyone is waiting for them to wake up and find some form again. On paper they certainly have enough ability to be doing far better, It’s a complete mystery what’s going wrong. It certainly looked like Sarpsborg would end their winless streak against Viking last time out, but they blew a 2-0 lead with only 5 mins left! The team haven’t necessarily been playing badly but are finding it extremely difficult to grind out a full 3 points.
Facing them in this Monday night clash are a Vålerenga outfit winless in five games. Things were looking good for VIF prior to the summer break but they came back playing some horrible football. I think manager Ronny Deila really needs to carry some of the blame because this team should be producing much better results than they’ve shown. Losing key playmaker Chidi Ejuke was a blow and perhaps he was even more important to them than most people could imagine. But there is more than enough ability in this squad to be beating teams such as Stabaek, Kristiansund & Haugesund, all of whom ‘Enga have dropped points against recently. Maybe the international break did them some good but I didn’t like what I saw from VIF in the weeks leading up to it. On the road Ronny Deila’s men have only won 2 times out of 10 this year which doesn’t exactly exert much confidence heading into this game
Neither team is making much of a case to win here. Incredibly, Sarpsborg are odds-on favourites with the bookies around the 1.95 mark. Who on earth could risk backing them on a -0.5 Asian Handicap? I am not saying that Sarpsborg won’t win here, and in fact I wouldn’t be surprised if they did. But we are talking about a team that’s only won TWO times in 20 matches this year, how can Geir Bakke’s men be trusted? My preferred bet is to take over 2.75 goals. Sarpsborg have only kept two clean sheets all season, whilst VIF have looked vulnerable defensively since the resumption of the summer break. It might be that both teams look to their attack forces in order to score their way out of trouble. Despite confidence being low each outfit will probably see this match as a good chance to pick up 3 points, so they’ll probably go for it. Over 2.75 goals is generously priced and the only real scoreline that looks like a danger is 1-1.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 2.050
Preview by: @meatmansoccer.
Access these prices from Steve Wyss’ selections for this weekend’s Eliteserien match through Skype Betting now.