Kristiansund v Sarpsborg
Kristiansund lost away at Molde last week and it now looks like they’ll finish either 6th or 7th in a battle with Brann. It’s probably too much of an ask to catch anyone above them, whilst at the same time a comfortable gap below. KBK usually end the season pretty well and have only lost 2 of their last 8 games. Players such as Kastrati, Gjertsen & Pellegrino have looked dangerous in attack. The latter scored a hatrick in their most recent home game which was a thrilling 4-2 victory against Viking. This is a tough place to visit and only two teams have managed to walk away with victory from this stadium. I think the only reason that Kristiansund are such a big price, around the 2.55 mark to win outright is because of the motivation factor.
Of course, at this stage of the season that is a factor you have to strongly consider. Sarpsborg are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the table and picked up a massive 3-2 victory vs Tromso last week. That result was facing a direct relegation rival, but with the bottom two in action it’s imperative Sarpsborg kick on from that result. One big problem that Sarpsborg have is a terrible 1-5-7 away record. Their lone victory was at Ranheim. I have serious concerns about Geir Bakke’s men on the road and this will not be a KBK side who just gives in easily because nothing is at stake. The pressure is off them and will probably look to play a free flowing game.I think over 2.5 is a big price here close to the even money mark. Sarpsborg have had a few unders in recent weeks but the match vs TIL in the previous round could pave the way for some more open contests. Kristianduns will attack all game and have nothing to lose so this could yield a few goals.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.50 goals at 2.000
Rosenborg v Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt have put up a great fight this season. The unexpected title challengers pushed Molde the best they could but now the gold medal looks out of their range. A more realistic target is to try and secure 2nd place. Odd are breathing down their necks, just a couple of points adrift and then they have a 6 point gap to 4th placed Rosenborg. It would be a tremendous feat for Bodø/Glimt to finish in a medal spot and secure European football for next season. Considering goal difference, a point here at the Lerkendal Stadion would surely be enough. Victory would of course keep them on course to finish second. Glimt have the second best away record in the league and should be able to use their counter attacking style to good effect here.
Rosenborg have paid the price for what was a very poor start to the campaign. They’ve since come back fairly well, only losing 1 of their last 15 games. But it might all be in vain if they can’t finish off the season with three straight wins. In my opinion that is what they need in order to stand a chance of finishing in a European place. One big positive for RBK has been their home form which has seen Eirik Horneland’s men win 8 of their last 9 at this stadium in the league. They are -0.75 Asian Handicap favourites, which is fair enough but something tells me this won’t be easy. Bodø/Glimt don’t actually have the worst of recent records facing RBK. They drew here in the last match of 2018 to secure survival and then earlier in the season beat off their illustrious opponents 2-0. Glimt won’t be afraid of Rosenborg and I think they could offer a significant threat on the counter attack. They have some fantastic players who can really hurt RBK at the back. This is a Rosenborg side that has kept just 1 clean sheet in its last 14 games. Over 3 goals is my preferred pick and I could see both teams scoring a couple of times with maybe a 3-2 outcome either way being a possibility.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 2.030
Preview by: @meatmansoccer