Molde v Kristiansund
Molde lost last week 1-3 away against arch rivals Rosenborg and it was their first defeat in 15 league games. It was a weird sort of fixture because Molde were very much on top early doors but then got pegged back. I felt they almost got too ‘overconfident’ and a little cocky after taking the lead and left themselves far too exposed. In the second half, it was also disappointing that they couldn’t score against ten men for the whole of the second half. Ultimately though, it was a blow that Molde could afford to take. The challenge at the top of the table against them hasn’t been very significant this season. Bodø/Glimt have of course put up a valiant effort but are still 6 points behind after failing to beat Brann on Monday night. Their goal difference is 11 better than Glimt so effectively two more wins out of four will be enough to secure the title. This is certainly one of those matches which they will be targeting and Molde have a terrific 10-2-0 home record this season.
Kristiansund travel here on the back of a thrilling 4-2 success vs Viking last week. They usually finish the season strongly and head into this match having lost just 1 of their last 8 encounters. KBK are under no real pressure and look set to finish either 5th 6th or 7th which is another terrific outcome for a club of their stature. Head coach Christian Michelsen deserves huge credit once again for guiding them towards a successful campaign. It’s interesting to note that Kristiansund have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matchups between these two teams and earlier in the season came from 0-2 down to win 3-2 against MFK. They won’t be coming here with any fear and I expect an open sort of contest in which both teams have a go. Molde have plenty of offensive strength but KBK themselves have guys in form like Gjertsen, Pellegrino & Kastrati. I sense the visitors could be very dangerous and although Molde are deserving -1 Asian Handicap favourites it wouldn’t totally shock me if KBK upset the odds. My preferred bet is over 3 goals. The way both teams have been playing of late there’s no reason why this won’t be an exciting contest full of chances.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 1.900
Bodø/Glimt v Haugesund
Molde’s defeat last weekend at Rosenborg left the door open for Bodø/Glimt at the top of the table but they could only draw 1-1 away at Brann. This means they are 6 points behind MFK with only four games to play. The title now looks out of their reach but they must put forth all their effort to try and finish in at least one of the medal spots. With tough away games at RBK and Molde still on their fixture list it is absolutely imperative they get 3 points out of this ‘easier’ looking affair vs Haugesund. I actually though the Glimt performance at Brann on Monday was their best in a while. They really took the game to Brann and were extremely unlucky not to win. A late legitimate goal was wrongly chalked off by the linesmen and overall it must’ve been really frustrating for them. I felt they did enough to win the game but had to settle for just a point. A repeat of that sort of display here would surely result in victory. Bodø/Glimt have a fantastic 9-3-1 home record and have scored 34 goals in front of their own fans.
At the current time of writing, the result of Thursday’s NM Cupen clash between Odd and Haugesund is unknown. But one thing’s for sure; that is/was a massive match for Haugesund and they will only have 2-3 days of recovery before heading up north to Bodø. FKH aren’t a bad side by any means and aren’t easily beaten. But they’ve only won 1 of their last 8 games in the league and I have to wonder what will be left in their tank following a tough cup semi final. The Haugesund squad isn’t the biggest and facing a Glimt side who are so very athletic it feels like a match they will struggle in. I really like the hosts to cover a -1 Asian Handicap and that will be my first pick for the game. I mentioned before how strong Bodø/Glimt are at home but when they win they usually cover the Asian line, winning by at least two goals in 7 of those 9 victories at Aspmyra Stadion. I also like backing over 2.75 goals. Glimt could cover this line on their own but Haugesund carry a goal threat and it wouldn;t surprise me to see them get on the scoresheet at some stage. A final scoreline of around 3-1 or 4-1 is what I’m predicting.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendations: Bodø/Glimt -1.00 at 2.020
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.820
Preview by: @meatmansoccer.