Chelsea v Man Utd – Stamford Bridge at 19:45 live on BBC One
After landing another Asian Handicap winner yesterday in the Premier League, I turn my attention back to the FA Cup on Monday.
League leaders Chelsea welcome former manager Jose Mourinho and his Man Utd side to Stamford Bridge for their quarter final clash.
Man City, Arsenal and Tottenham are all in the draw for the semi finals which are played at Wembley and my money’s on the hosts to join them.
Antonio Conte’s first season couldn’t be going much better. They are clear at the top of the Premier League by 10 points and have made the quarter finals of the FA Cup without breaking a sweat.
The Blues have lost just 3 league games so far this season and are unbeaten in their last 7 EPL matches. In that period they have also won 3 FA Cup ties with an aggregate scoreline of 10-1.
With no European Football, their schedule has been light, especially compared to their opponents. They are well on course for a league and cup double something they achieved in 2009/10 when Carlo Ancelotti, their first Italian manager, ended his first season on a high.
As well as having a light schedule, Conte has also been very lucky with injuries this campaign. No players from his starting XI have suffered any serious injuries and he has a full squad to choose from for this tie.
The Red Devils have played a staggering 45 matches already this season. Their last being a trip to Russia in the Europa League where they faced FC Rostov.
Man Utd have already lifted the EFL Cup with a win over Southampton and remain in contention for the FA Cup and Europa League. They are still in the race for a top 4 finish which after a slow start to the season, looked unlikely.
United have been stuttering a bit recently in the Premier League, with just 2 wins from their last 6. However, they are unbeaten since they were humbled by the Blues 4-0 at the Bridge last October.
Unfortunately for United, they will be without their talisman Zlatan Ibrahaimovic. The Swede has been instrumental this season, scoring 26 times. He is suspended after elbowing Tyrone Mings last weekend.
These two sides have met in the FA Cup 13 times, with United winning 8 to Chelsea’s 3. But it’s the Blues who come into the match as odds on favourites.
Chelsea have won 15 of their 16 matches at home in all competitions this season. That sort of record is hard to ignore.
Another stat that supports a home win is that Chelsea haven’t lost to United in their last 9 meetings in all competitions, (W6 D3).
Man Utd have played a lot more games than their opponents, are without their leading scorer and you could argue they have bigger fish to fry. However, I’m sure Mourinho will field a strong side and want to win this one. Especially after being embarrassed on his return back in October.
I expect this one to be tight but at 1.92 -0.5 of the Asian Handicap market, Chelsea are the value bet.
Asian Handicap Recommendation: Chelsea -0.5 at 1.92
Prices correct at time of writing.
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