Bologna v Sampdoria – Stadio Renato Dall’Ara at 14:00 GMT+1
Marco Giampaolo extended his remarkable record in the match that matters most to Sampdoria fans – guiding his team to a 2-0 win over Genoa in last weekend’s Derby della Lanterna at the Marassi. The Blucerchiati boss is now unbeaten in six derbies (W4-D2-L0) since taking charge.
Veteran striker Fabio Quagliarella pulled clear at the top of the Serie A scoring charts as his penalty sealed victory following Gregoire Defrel’s early opener. Genoa defender Davide Biraschi was sent off for handling inside the box early in the second half before Quagliarella took his tally to 22 goals from the spot.
The 36-year-old forward has now plundered the most goals by any Sampdoria player in a single campaign since Vincenzo Montella in 1996-97 and his clinical finishing has helped the Blucerchiati into the top-half of the Serie A standings as we head into the final six rounds of action.
Sampdoria’s impressive campaign
Samp sit in ninth, a full eight points clear of their nearest challengers, Fiorentina. And Saturday afternoon’s away side hold an intriguing record against their divisional rivals, returning just W3-D1-L10 when taking on teams in eighth and above, compared to an impressive W11-D5-L2 against sides in 10th and below.
Confidence will therefore be high in the camp that Sampdoria can it six wins from their last nine outings when they travel to lowly Bologna here. The visitors have W5-D4-L1 on their travels when excluding the top-five, scoring 24 times in those 10 tussles, including at least twice on six occasions.
However, a more attractive play would be to support a goal-heavy game in Bologna with Over 2.5 Goals trading at a bulbous 2.10. It’s a selection that’s already proven profitable in 12/16 (75%) of the Blucerchiati’s away days in 2018/19 with matches averaging a hug 3.63 goals outside of their Genoa base.
Bologna more forward-thinking under new coach
Relegation battlers Bologna are two points above the drop zone but have appeared a more competitive and attack-minded outfit since Filippo Inzaghi was replaced by the returning Sinisa Mihajlovic in the dugout towards the end of January. The seven-times Italian champions have since W5-D2-L4.
Those improved results have been built around a freedom of expression in the final-third that just wasn’t there under Inzaghi. Bologna have scored in all bar two of their 11 outings under Mihajlovic’s watch, including racking up seven goals in their most recent three fixtures at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara.
Despite their largely dour output across the whole campaign, 7/15 (47%) of Bologna’s home outings have featured three or more goals this season, suggesting the 2.10 available on Over 2.5 Goals is underrated, particularly with the mindset and ability on show from the two clubs clashing on Saturday.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.50 goals at 2.100
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.