Austria v Wales – Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna at 19:45 live on Sky Sports 1
Wales continue their World Cup qualifying campaign with a tough looking test in Austria tomorrow night. It’s one of the Dragons toughest fixtures in group D and they come into the match as underdogs. Austria have far from impressed recently however, and I expect the Welsh to get a result in Vienna. With a +0.25 advantage on the Asian Handicap market, they offer some value.
The Austrians opened their qualifying campaign with an unconvincing win over Georgia. The narrow 2-1 win away from home would have done little to build confidence after a disappointing Summer.
After an excellent Euro 2016 qualifying campaign Das Team came into the finals as one of the Dark Horses. 8 wins and 2 draws saw them top their group above Russia and Sweden.
They were drawn in a fairly easy group which included Iceland, Hungary and Portugal, but finished bottom with a point. Their label of dark horses was certainly not justified and maybe should have been foreseen after 3 losses in 5 pre-tournament home friendlies.
Austria are now managed by Marcel Koller after Christian Fuch’s resignation. He still has a lot of quality at his disposal including David Alaba, Marko Arnautovic and captain Julian Baumgartlinger. They will need to be better than they were against the Georgians though, if they are to qualify.
With Serbia away on Sunday, it could be a very difficult week if Koller doesn’t get the best from his players.
In contrast, Wales had an excellent Euro 2016, making it to the semi finals. They defeated Slovakia, Russia, Northern Ireland and Belgium before being beaten by eventual champions Portugal.
With excellent form comes pressure though, and in a difficult group, Wales are now expected to qualify after only making it to one major finals in the last 58 years.
They opened their qualifying campaign well, thumping Moldova 4-0. Only a win would have been acceptable, but the nature of their performance would have eased some pressure.
Their record in qualifying for France, away from home was excellent, picking up 3 wins and a draw from their 5 road matches.
Looking at the hosts recent defeats on home soil as well as their good away form, Coleman will be confident in picking up a least a point from this match.
Asian Handicap & Total Goals
With form on their side, the Welsh look a great bet with a +0.25 advantage on the Asian Handicap market at 1.96. Austria’s recent win over Georgia did nothing to prove their poor form from the Summer is over.
Das Team’s home form is nothing special, however, you can pretty much guarantee them getting on the score sheet, so have a chance of nicking a point here. They have found the back of the net in each of their last 14 qualifying matches.
Wales have also only been shut out in one of their last 8 competitive matches, so to see Over 2 goals on the Asian line priced at 1.82, I’m also backing this with confidence.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Wales +0.25 at 1.96 & Over 2 goals at 1.82
Prices correct at time of writing,
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