Augsburg v RB Leipzig – WWK Arena at 14:30
Two of the Bundesliga’s leading scorers this season face-off on Saturday afternoon as Augsburg and Alfred Finnbogason tussle with second-placed RB Leipzig and Timo Werner. And it’s difficult not to make a case for goals.
Augsburg have scored a club-record 14 goals after seven matches of a top-flight season. Manuel Baum’s charges have fired in 111 attempts – 67 from inside the penalty box – and landed 45 on-target – only visitors RB Leipzig can match that 45 tally across the opening seven games of the campaign.
Finnbogason has helped himself to four goals in two matches since returning from injury, across just 172 minutes of Bundesliga action. The Icelandic forward will be hoping to add to that tally here and he’ll be joined in attack by Michel Gregoritsch, who also found the net in the dramatic 4-3 defeat at Dortmund last time out.
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The Fuggerstädter have been generating an impressive 1.09 Expected Goals from open play on average– an excellent return considering five of their opposition sides are currently perched inside the top-half of the table. However, Baum’s men have only secured two triumphs despite these positive performances.
Goals on the agenda
While Augsburg have scored in every encounter, the hosts have yet to manage a clean sheet of their own, and unsurprisingly, five of those seven outings have seen the Over 2.5 Goals barrier beaten. The same selection provided profit in 18 (60%) of FCA’s 30 home fixtures under Baum over the past two campaigns.
Like Finnbogason, Timo Werner has hit the net four times in the Bundesliga this term for RB Leipzig, most recently scoring a brace as Ralf Rangnick’s troops swept past Nuremberg 6-0 before the international break. With key players such as Emil Forsberg, Yussuf Poulsen, Kevin Kampl back to full fitness, the guests are starting to purr in the final-third once more.
Leipzig are unbeaten in their last six and have won three Bundesliga matches in a row for the first time in 2018. Rangnick’s charges are the second-highest scorers in the league (16), behind leaders Dortmund (23), with Poulsen heading the charts with five. Kevin Augustin and Werner have four apiece.
Nevertheless, Die Roten Bullen are yet to keep their sheets clean on their travels, and since the start of last season, the guests have recorded just three shutouts in 20 away Bundesliga days. Those matches averaged 3.00 goals-per-game in total, while this term their total Expected Goals from open play average stands at 2.66.
With that in mind, it makes sense to support Over 2.75 Goals at an attractive 1.80 on Saturday afternoon.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.790
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.
Can Augsburg steal a win against RB Leipzig on their Saturday German duel at WWK Arena? Make use of this Augsburg v RB Leipzig betting tips when betting with Eastbridge’s Skype betting placement!
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