Atalanta v Spal – Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia at 19:45 GMT LIVE at Premier Sports
Atalanta ace Robin Gosens admitted La Dea felt disappointed to only come away from title-challengers Inter Milan with a 1-1 draw at San Siro last weekend. The German wing-back said the Bergamo boys “dominated the game” and believed he saw “no difference between us and the leaders” during the stalemate.
Lautaro Martinez had put the hosts in front in the fourth minute, but Gian Piero Gasperini’s men controlled possession thereafter. Gosens grabbed a deserved equaliser before Luis Muriel spurned the chance to seal maximum points when his potential match-winning penalty was saved by Samir Handanovic.
La Dea dominated the ball and enjoyed almost twice as many completed passes in Milan, once again impressing onlookers. Gasperini was also full of praise for his players, agreeing with Gosens’ assessment that the plucky underdogs had enjoyed the better of the contest against Antonino Conte’s charges.
Ace Atalanta difficult to oppose
The Bergamo outfit now get back to Serie A action on Monday evening as they bid to cement their place in the Champions League qualification places against rock-bottom Spal. And punters should be encouraged to support La Dea in a dominant performance at their Stadio Atleti Azzurri d’Italia base here.
Gasperini’s group can be supported with a -1.75 Asian Handicap hurdle at 1.80. The hosts have W5-D1-L1 when entertaining teams outside the top-six with that sample showing a 27-9 aggregate advantage in Atalanta’s favour. The hosts also come into this clash following back-to-back 5-0 victories on home soil.
Atalanta are also Italy’s most eye-catching operator according to Expected Goals (xG). La Dea top the charts for xG and xG generated from open play this season, whilst also attempting the most shots from inside the opposition’s penalty box; Gasperini’s men also lead the ratio rankings for all three aforementioned metrics.
As well as propping up the Serie A standings, losing 13 of their opening 19 encounters, Spal are also rock-bottom when viewing xG from open play ratio. The guests have been beaten in all bar two of their away trips this term with three of their four losses at top-six sides seeing this selection provide profit.
Spal have fired blanks in six of 10 games as guests, whilst keeping only five shutouts in their past 29 away days dating back to the start of last season. Worryingly, 19 (66%) of those games ended in defeat and it’s difficult to see Spal improving that rotten record in Bergamo on Monday night.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Atalanta -1.75 at 1.800
Preview by: @MarkOHaire