AS Roma v Inter Milan – Stadio Olimpico at 19:45 live on BT Sport 3
Before teams break off for the second international break of the season, there’s a rip-roaring contest from Italy to enjoy on Sunday night as Roma welcome Inter Milan to the Olimpico.
Roma have recorded back-to-back 4-0 victories in front of their home supporters but the Giallorossi will be given a much sterner test this time around. Cushy wins against Crotone and Astra were sandwiched between a poor 3-1 reverse at Torino last Sunday leaving Luciano Spalletti’s men winless on their travels in 2016/17 (W0-D3-L2).
Roma rampant at the Olimpico
Still, the hosts are a more fearsome beast in the Eternal City and having churned out 10 triumphs in 12 Serie A outings at the Olimpico, and winning by more than a one goal margin in 11 of their last 20 on home soil, Roma are rightly chalked up as Asian Handicap favourites here.
The Giallorossi have struck 15 goals across their four outings as HQ this term and on Thursday night 40-year-old Francesco Totti was again in inspirational form to help guide the club to their routine Europa League success over Astra.
Goals fill Giallorossi games
Spalletti’s side will look to play on the front-foot from the off here and last season’s highest Serie A scorers should ensure we’re in for a quality contest. In 2015/16 Roma saw 23 (61%) of their games feature Over 2.5 Goals with a further 17 (45%) producing at least four goals whilst both teams found the net in 27 (71%).
It’s a theme that’s continued in this campaign as five of their first six league outings have broken the Over 2.5 Goals mark and the same figure throwing up Over 3.5 Goals winners as the hosts struggle to keep their own sheets clean.
Indeed, no top-four side shipped more goals than the Wolves’ 41 last term and although Roma W13-D5-L1 at the Olimpico, they only shutout four opponents. The Giallorossi were breached in 16 of their 23 triumphs.
Spalletti’s men conceded two against Cagliari and Sampdoria, before shipping three at Torino a week ago and despite their obvious attacking talents, the team still looks terribly exposed against a good counter-attacking side.
More Europa League pain for Inter
Inter might not be the most menacing on the break but the Nerazzurri are more than capable of getting on the scoresheet here, making Over 2.5 Goals look a wonderful play at 1.83 quotes.
Frank de Boer was given a stay of execution after landing the Derby d’Italia against Juventus a fortnight ago but Inter then disappointed when being held to a 1-1 draw with Bologna at the San Siro before an embarrassing -1 defeat at Sparta Prague on Thursday night.
Inter’s defensive woes ongoing
The visitors rested Mauro Icardi and Ivan Perisic – scores of all eight Inter goals in Serie A this season – for their trip to Prague but the Nerazzurri have managed just a solitary clean sheet – against hapless Empoli – this term and shipped the opener in seven of their eight competitive outings.
Inter tailed off their 2015/16 season with just four shutouts in 22 and have been beaten in six of their past eight trips to top-six teams. With little confidence in Roma’s defence, it’s easy to see Inter grabbing a goal here but ultimately the Nerazzurri look likely to depart the capital pointless.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendations: Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 & AS Roma -0.5 at 2.02
Prices correct at time of writing.
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