Roma v Porto – Stadio Olimpico at 19:45 live on BT Sport ESPN
This Champions League qualification match is finely poised after the first leg ended in a 1-1 draw at the Estadio do Dragao last Wednesday. With a place in the group stages of the UCL at stake, it’s all to play for and there are some good betting opportunities on the Asian Handicap betting market and Asian goal lines.
Readers of my first leg Asian Handicap betting preview will know we suffered a half loss with my recommendation of Porto -0.25. However, with Roma having to play the whole of the second half with 10-men, Porto registered 31 attempts but just couldn’t snatch a winner.
The Italian’s took the lead thanks to an own goal by defender Felipe in the 21st minute. Thomas Vermaelen was then sent off in the 42nd minute for two bookable offenses. Roma finished the half 1-0 in front, with 9 attempts, 5 on target and 57% of possession.
Porto made the advantage count in the second half, dominating possession, registering 17 attempts, but needed a penalty to find the back of the net. Roma’s defence held strong though and they came away with a valuable away goal and draw.
The 2004 Champions League winners will have been disappointed with the result and have their work cut out at the Stadio Olimpico on Tuesday night.
Nuno Espirito Santos’ side have started their domestic season well though, winning their opening 2 matches and will be confident they can turn this tie round. They are 4.33 underdogs to win in 90 minutes, but a score draw will keep them in it.
Roma’s defence, as we saw in the first leg is very strong so Porto are going to have to come at them cautiously. Roma have proved they are not shy in front of goal either, banging 4 past Udinese in their opening Serie A match last weekend.
This is another match in which the defences should come out on top. Both sides are very strong at at the back and I think we could see a match with a lot fewer chances than in the first leg.
Porto offer some value on the Asian Handicap betting market to avoid defeat, +0.5 at 2.09 but I’d prefer to play it a little safer and back them +0.75 at 1.86.
However, for my recommendation, I’m turning to the goals market. Under 2.5 goals at 1.90 is a big price for what should be a low scoring tight match.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals at 1.90
Prices correct at time of writing.
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