Amiens v Toulouse – Stade de la Licorne at 19:00
Amiens finished second in a hotly contested Ligue 2 last season to seal their place in France’s top-flight for the first time in the club’s 116-year history.
A six-game winning streak to conclude their campaign – including a 96th-minute goal on the final day – edged Les Licornes into the automatic promotion places on goal difference, sparking huge scenes of jubilation in the northern city.
Top goalscorer Aboubakar Kamara grabbed 11 goals last term but his summer move to Fulham has left Les Licornes short of attacking options and it has shown throughout the season. Only Caen (18) have scored fewer goals (22) than Saturday night’s hosts from the Hauts-de-France.
Six (27%) of those 22 goals arrived by shots from outside the penalty area or penalties, and Amiens’ average of just 2.76 shots on-target per-game is a divisional low. Christophe Pelissier’s charges have conceded the most attempts in Ligue 1 so it’s no surprise to see their fast start slowly disintegrate.
Form and team news
Les Licornes have lost eight of 10 league fixtures since December, firing blanks on six occasions. In only five of their 25 games have the newly-promoted club scored more than a solitary strike and this weekend they’ll be without top scorer Moussa Konate through suspension.
To make matters worse, centre-backs Khaled Adenon and Bakaye Dibassy are also unavailable on Saturday night. Out of the eight games that Adenon or Dibassy have missed this season, Amiens have failed to win or keep a clean sheet, losing six of these fixtures.
Hope for Toulouse?
Toulouse has been chasing their tail for the majority of the season and eventually ditched Pascal Dupraz a few weeks ago with relegation looming. His defensive mindset hampered progress but the club bemused many by appointing Mickael Debeve as his replacement, a coach in the same mould.
Nevertheless, despite an embarrassing cup exit to lower league opposition, TFC have tasted that winning feeling twice in their last three matches. Last weekend a spirited performance at the Stade Municipal against runaway leaders PSG brought a 1-0 reverse, the first goal Toulouse had leaked in three games.
True, victories over Nice and Troyes were rather underwhelming considering the circumstances but the visitors have the ability to silence a shot-shy Amiens and potentially pinch a winner in the final-third. With that in mind, punting Toulouse with a +0.25 Asian Handicap start appeals at 1.720.
It’s a ‘must not lose’ encounter for the two strugglers but Toulouse’s W6-D4-L5 return against clubs in eighth and below, alongside their obvious defensive strength and organisation, hands the initiative to the guests here.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Toulouse 0.25 at 1.720
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