Back on track. I hope you followed my suggestions last round. I had a good feeling and it paid off with 100% win. It’s always a good feeling when it happens, but you know, betting is a marathon and there is no time to relax and enjoy. This week I’m back at it with three new picks in the Swedish league.

ÖSTERSUND v ELFSBORG

Elfsborg won 3-1 last week in a pretty nice game with a lot of chances. Now, it’s time for the return and I think we will have some pretty good chances to see an open game again.

Östersund played a 3-4-3 last week and I think we will see a similar formation this time since they played a good game, even if they lost. Sema is out since he plays at the Olympics, otherwise there are no other big news in the squad.

Elfsborg have two concerns in the squad, Adam Lundqvist who plays at the Olympics and Per Frick who is suspended. That doesn’t change anything in the lineup and Elfsborg can put out a good team on the field.

As last week, I think we will see an open game with a lot of chances. Östersund are even more offensive at home and Elfsborg must keep winning to get closer to the teams at the top. This week I choose another bet because I think Östersund have a bigger chance of getting points here.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.82

AIK v FALKENBERG

Tricky game. AIK have a very tight schedule and only get one real day to prepare for this game. Thursday night, AIK played against Panathinaikos away in a warm Greece. Falkenberg are in the bottom but have decent form.

AIK played a tough game and only lost 1-0 against Panathinaikos after a late goal. This loss should, in my opinion, give them motivation since the performance was good. Captain Nils-Eric Johansson is suspended.

Falkenberg are in the bottom, but Hammarby are not far away. After the Euros, Falkenberg have picked up four points in three games and confidence should be positive here.

AIK should win this game if they only give 80-85%. But if we look at the last five games between this two teams we have the results: 4-1, 3-0, 4-3, 4-2 and 2-3. So when you can play Over 3.0 and get 1.82, I think you must pick it.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 3 goals at 1.82

BK HÄCKEN v HELSINGBORG

Last ween Häcken did what they always do – won against Helsingborg away. This week it’s time for the return on Hisingen and I think we will see a similar game.

Häcken have some concerns in the attack. Their big star Paulinho is out with a small knee injury and Nasiru Mohammed will probably also miss this game. Good thing though, is that coach Gerhardsson has some good alternatives in the attack.

For Helsingborg the injuries wont stop. Before this game, Helsingborg has six players out and four other players are doubt. Heavy concerns for Henrik Larsson before this game.

Häcken have a much better situation in the squad and at home, Häcken are strong. Helsingborg doesn’t like the artifical turf at all and sometimes it doesn’t look like they care at all when they play on this type of grass.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Häcken -1 at 1.89

Prices correct at time of writing.

By Christoffer Svanemar – @csvanemar for @FootballUtd.

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